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The Premonition: A Pandemic Story (Hardcover)

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(Poli Sci/Law/Current)

Staff Reviews

A short must read book on the U.S. pandemic response, that mentions very little about the prior President? How is that possible? In The Premonition, Lewis exposes an out of touch CDC, whose directors have been political appointees since Reagan, politicized state health departments, having varying degrees of power to enact health measures during a pandemic, and the very real lack of understanding of the public about how math works. (Lewis wrote about behavioral economics in his earlier book, The Undoing Project.) All of these worked with the Trump "comorbidity" to give us a government failure worthy of the Decline and Fall. As usual, Michael Lewis's emphasis is on the stories that have not been told, and finding the people to tell them. This includes a secret group of seven, whose advice gave the governors of states who heard about them (e.g. Ohio, Maryland) a leg up in their pandemic responses. One member, expanding on his daughter's high school science project, improved pandemic modelling to what has proved a shockingly accurate degree.  And the heroine-a public health official in California, Charity Dean- has a backstory reminiscent of the book Educated


— From Carla's Picks


New York Times Bestseller

For those who could read between the lines, the censored news out of China was terrifying. But the president insisted there was nothing to worry about.

Fortunately, we are still a nation of skeptics. Fortunately, there are those among us who study pandemics and are willing to look unflinchingly at worst-case scenarios. Michael Lewis’s taut and brilliant nonfiction thriller pits a band of medical visionaries against the wall of ignorance that was the official response of the Trump administration to the outbreak of COVID-19.

The characters you will meet in these pages are as fascinating as they are unexpected. A thirteen-year-old girl’s science project on transmission of an airborne pathogen develops into a very grown-up model of disease control. A local public-health officer uses her worm’s-eye view to see what the CDC misses, and reveals great truths about American society. A secret team of dissenting doctors, nicknamed the Wolverines, has everything necessary to fight the pandemic: brilliant backgrounds, world-class labs, prior experience with the pandemic scares of bird flu and swine flu…everything, that is, except official permission to implement their work.

Michael Lewis is not shy about calling these people heroes for their refusal to follow directives that they know to be based on misinformation and bad science. Even the internet, as crucial as it is to their exchange of ideas, poses a risk to them. They never know for sure who else might be listening in.

About the Author

Michael Lewis is the best-selling author of Liar’s Poker, Moneyball, The Blind Side, The Big Short, The Undoing Project, and The Fifth Risk. He lives in Berkeley, California, with his wife and three children.

Praise For…

Lewis brings a welcome gimlet eye to the Trump era… the lessons of the “The Premonition” apply to more than just the C.D.C. — they tell us why government bureaucracies fail.
— Nick Confessore - New York Times Book Review

An urgent, highly readable contribution to the literature of what might be called the politics of disease.
— Kirkus Reviews (starred review)
Product Details
ISBN: 9780393881554
ISBN-10: 0393881555
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Publication Date: May 4th, 2021
Pages: 320
Language: English